Model evaluation

The aim of APPLICATE’s model evaluation efforts is threefold. Firstly, an Arctic-specific framework, entailing advanced metrics and diagnostics for model assessment and analysis, will be developed and disseminated through ESMValTool to the APPLICATE partners and the wider scientific community. Secondly, this framework will be applied to establishing a baseline understanding of the realism of models across time scales, which will provide insight into the mechanisms governing Arctic climate change and the linkages between the Arctic and the rest of the Northern Hemisphere. Thirdly, the concept of emergent constraints will be explored to test the possibility of narrowing the uncertainty of regional climate change projections.

Selected publications

  • Eyring, V., Bock, L., Lauer, A., Righi, M., Schlund, M., Andela, B., Arnone, E., Bellprat, O., Brötz, B., Caron, L.-P., Carvalhais, N., Cionni, I., Cortesi, N., Crezee, B., Davin, E. L., Davini, P., Debeire, K., de Mora, L., Deser, C., Docquier, D., Earnshaw, P., Ehbrecht, C., Gier, B. K., Gonzalez-Reviriego, N., Goodman, P., Hagemann, S., Hardiman, S., Hassler, B., Hunter, A., Kadow, C., Kindermann, S., Koirala, S., Koldunov, N., Lejeune, Q., Lembo, V., Lovato, T., Lucarini, V., Massonnet, F., ... and Zimmermann, K. (2020): Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3383–3438,, 2020.
  • Oudar, T., Cattiaux, J., Douville, H. et al. Robustness and drivers of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation response to a CO2-induced warming in CNRM-CM6-1. Clim Dyn 54, 2267–2285 (2020).
  • Uotila, P., Goosse, H., Haines, K. et al. An assessment of ten ocean reanalyses in the polar regions. Clim Dyn 52, 1613–1650 (2019).
  • Voldoire, A., Saint-Martin, D.,, S., Decharme, B., Alias, A., Chevallier, M., ... & Nabat, P. (2019). Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments With CNRM-CM6-1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(7), 2177-2213.